Confirmed Pressure — Signal Playbook

What it detects

A high-conviction confluence: strong book imbalance, an OFI extreme, AND an aggressive tape sweep all line up on the same side at once. The resting book, the order flow, and the executed tape agree — three independent reads pointing the same way.

How Confirmed Pressure paints across a heatmap row — the colour language it speaks on the live map.

How to play it

Use it as scanner context, not an automatic entry:

• This is the “everything agrees” signal — rare by design, so weight it accordingly.
• Trade with the confluence direction on a pair you’re positioned to act on.
• Because three reads already align, you need less extra confirmation — but still respect the level.
• Freshness matters: like OFI, the edge is short-horizon.

Confirmation

What strengthens the read:

• Price follows through promptly in the confluence direction.
• The reading repeats or spreads to correlated majors.
• Spread stays tight throughout.

Invalidation

What kills it:

• Any one leg drops out (book flips, OFI reverts, or flow dries up).
• Price fails to move despite the alignment (hidden absorption).
• It fires on a thin, wide book.

Risk & honest evidence

Respect the limits:

• Rare means small sample — don’t force it when conditions aren’t truly aligned.
• Confluence can still mark a blow-off top as easily as a continuation.
• Evidence: grounded in market-microstructure research; combining order-book, order-flow, and tape evidence. vyx's own live backtest is still accruing — treat this as scanner context, not a proven edge.